Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 6S. Özcan
- 10O. Kökçü
- 15J. Olaitan
- 18V. Černý
- 29I. Fakili
- 12E. Agbadou
- 62A. Murillo
- 33R. Yılmaz
- 35Tiago Djaló
- 1A. Nübel
Kocaelispor
4-3-3- 11Gonçalo Santos Sousa
- 97F. Ayé
- 7D. Agyei
- 14Show
- 10B. Kutlu
- 20Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
- 21M. Haïdara
- 2A. Dijksteel
- 4T. Zoukrou
- 22U. Yıldız
- 83S. Öztaşdelen
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Kocaelispor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 6-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Beşiktaş wins, 1 draw, 0 Kocaelispor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kocaelispor 0-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Kocaelispor 1-1 Beşiktaş | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Beşiktaş 3-1 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 3rd in Süper Lig (12 points from 6 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor played?
- Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.