Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya
The Footlab AI model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erzurumspor FK wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Alanyaspor (1,923) and Erzurumspor FK (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alanyaspor
3-4-2-1- 22Paolo Fernandes
- 94F. Hadërgjonaj
- 42G. Makouta
- 11Ruan
- 55B. Gezek
- 8E. Keskin
- 26İ. Çelik
- 5F. Aliti
- 3Nuno Lima
- 20F. Aksoy
- 48Paulo Victor
Known absences
MaestroOut · Thigh injury
Erzurumspor FK
5-4-1- 10E. Tozlu
- 6B. Baiye
- 65M. Rodríguez
- 42E. Owusu
- 20Miguel Cardoso
- 53O. Ovacıklı
- 4A. Gerxhaliu
- 18N. Mujakić
- 22M. Yumlu
- 15G. Giorbelidze
- 1E. Taşkıran
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanyaspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Erzurumspor FK have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Alanyaspor wins, 1 draw, 2 Erzurumspor FK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | Alanyaspor 2-3 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Alanyaspor 4-1 Erzurumspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Alanyaspor 2-1 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK on May 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Alanyaspor score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Erzurumspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alanyaspor sit 5th in Süper Lig (11 points from 6 matches) and Erzurumspor FK sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK played?
- Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at GAIN Park Stadium, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.