Where and when is Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto played?

Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima United

Roasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,671) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,698).

Fukushima United win38 %

Draw27 %

Roasso Kumamoto win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fukushima United win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 13, 2024	Fukushima United 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2021	Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Fukushima United	J3 League
Apr 11, 2021	Fukushima United 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Oct 11, 2020	Fukushima United 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Aug 2, 2020	Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Fukushima United	J3 League
Dec 1, 2019	Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Fukushima United	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto on Mar 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fukushima United	1.9	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?: The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto played?: Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.