Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kagoshima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kagoshima United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| May 19, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Kagoshima United | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Kagoshima United 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FC GifuvsOsaka
- Oct 31, 2026KanazawavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 31, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKitakyushu
- Oct 31, 2026Tochigi SCvsEhime FC
- Oct 31, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsNara Club
- Oct 31, 2026FC RyukyuvsGainare Tottori
- Oct 31, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Oct 31, 2026Parceiro NaganovsBiwako Shiga