Robur Siena vs Ancona: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,049 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Ancona?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,805) and Ancona (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Robur Siena vs Ancona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Robur Siena
4-3-3- 7F. Disanto
- 9A. Paloschi
- 14M. Meli
- 55G. Leone
- 10N. Belloni
- 15R. Collodel
- 3A. Favalli
- 13L. Crescenzi
- 6D. Riccardi
- 2A. Raimo
- 1I. Lanni
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ancona have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Robur Siena wins, 3 draws, 1 Ancona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | Robur Siena 0-0 Ancona | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Ancona 1-1 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Robur Siena 1-1 Ancona | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Ancona 3-2 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Robur Siena vs Ancona on Dec 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ancona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Robur Siena vs Ancona?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Ancona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Robur Siena.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Ancona played?
- Robur Siena vs Ancona is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.