Rochdale vs Swindon Town: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Rochdale won 1-0 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 88′C. HayesRochdale
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Rochdale win at 44%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Rochdale vs Swindon Town
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 45G. Middleton
- 17B. Adeeko
- 18J. Smith
- 14E. Francis
- 8H. Gilmour
- 2C. Tasker
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 26S. Sherring
- 1Nils Ramming
Swindon Town
4-4-2- 29A. Hackford
- 23A. Drinan
- 26D. Butler
- 27A. Munda
- 25J. Thomson
- 7T. Nichols
- 34B. Kirkman
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 1C. Ripley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | York(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rochdale win, 3 draws, 2 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Rochdale 4-4 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Swindon Town 3-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Rochdale 0-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Swindon Town 2-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2021 | Rochdale 2-1 Swindon Town | League One |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Swindon Town 3-1 Rochdale | League One |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Swindon Town on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 20th in League Two (15 points from 14 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
A question about Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy