Rodina Moskva III vs SKA Khabarovsk II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva III the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for SKA Khabarovsk II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva III vs SKA Khabarovsk II?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva III (1,573) and SKA Khabarovsk II (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva III have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SKA Khabarovsk II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strogino(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rodina Moskva III win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SKA Khabarovsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II 0-2 Rodina Moskva III | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Rodina Moskva III 1-1 SKA Khabarovsk II | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 10, 2025 | SKA Khabarovsk II 3-4 Rodina Moskva III | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: SKA Khabarovsk II vs Rodina Moskva III on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva III score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SKA Khabarovsk II score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva III | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| SKA Khabarovsk II | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva III sit 9th in Second League - Group 3 (25 points from 20 matches) and SKA Khabarovsk II sit 10th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 25 |
| 10 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva III vs SKA Khabarovsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva III the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for SKA Khabarovsk II.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva III vs SKA Khabarovsk II played?
- Rodina Moskva III vs SKA Khabarovsk II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.