Match

Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi

Montevarchi CalcioRondinella

The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Rondinella. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella?

Montevarchi Calcio win38 %
Draw33 %
Rondinella win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Rondinella have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montevarchi Calcio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Figline(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Prato(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Montevarchi Calcio3410168283246

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella?
The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Rondinella.
Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella played?
Montevarchi Calcio vs Rondinella is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montevarchi Calcio and Rondinella

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