Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini
The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Terranuova Traiana (1,680) and Gavorrano (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Terranuova Traiana win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gavorrano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-1 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Gavorrano 2-2 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Terranuova Traiana 0-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Gavorrano 3-1 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Terranuova Traiana 0-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Terranuova Traiana sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (51 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
| 14 | Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano played?
- Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 14, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsScandicci
- Feb 14, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsMezzolara
- Feb 14, 2027FlaminiavsSeravezza
- Feb 14, 2027GrassinavsTau Altopascio
- Feb 14, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsPrato
- Feb 14, 2027RondinellavsMontevarchi Calcio