Match

Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini

Terranuova TraianaGavorrano

The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Terranuova Traiana (1,680) and Gavorrano (1,643).

Terranuova Traiana win45 %
Draw31 %
Gavorrano win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Terranuova Traiana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Grosseto(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Orvietana Calcio(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Tau Altopascio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Camaiore(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Camaiore(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Scandicci(away)3-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Orvietana Calcio(home)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Terranuova Traiana win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gavorrano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Terranuova Traiana 1-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Sep 24, 2025Gavorrano 0-1 Terranuova TraianaSerie D - Girone E
Jan 12, 2025Gavorrano 2-2 Terranuova TraianaSerie D - Girone E
Sep 15, 2024Terranuova Traiana 0-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Mar 19, 2023Gavorrano 3-1 Terranuova TraianaSerie D - Girone E
Nov 13, 2022Terranuova Traiana 0-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Terranuova Traiana0.90.965/153/15
Gavorrano1.11.429/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Terranuova Traiana sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (51 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Terranuova Traiana3414911283051
14Gavorrano3491015364937

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano?
The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano played?
Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Terranuova Traiana and Gavorrano

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