Robur Siena vs Progresso: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Progresso?
Robur Siena starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Robur Siena vs Progresso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Robur Siena
4-3-3- 7F. Disanto
- 9A. Paloschi
- 57Fiaschi
- 55G. Leone
- 10N. Belloni
- 14M. Meli
- 3A. Favalli
- 13L. Crescenzi
- 6D. Riccardi
- 2A. Raimo
- 1I. Lanni
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Robur Siena win, 0 draws, 0 Progresso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso 0-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Progresso vs Robur Siena on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 7 matches) and Progresso sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Robur Siena vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Progresso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Progresso played?
- Robur Siena vs Progresso is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027TernanavsLucchese
- Feb 14, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsScandicci
- Feb 14, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsMezzolara
- Feb 14, 2027FlaminiavsSeravezza
- Feb 14, 2027GrassinavsTau Altopascio
- Feb 14, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsPrato
- Feb 14, 2027Terranuova TraianavsGavorrano
- Feb 14, 2027RondinellavsMontevarchi Calcio