Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana?
Ternana is a heavy favourite: 1,904 Elo points against 1,596, a 308-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Not enough data to predict the Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 02:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Ternana have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 5-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ternana | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 10 matches) and Ternana sit 4th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ternana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 17 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Ternana is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.