Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
Rosario Central starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosario Central have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rosario Central win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 0.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosario Central sit 4th in Liga Profesional Argentina (28 points from 16 matches) and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15th (5 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
- The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
- Where and when is Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto played?
- Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsBelgrano Cordoba
- Nov 8, 2026Union Santa FevsVelez Sarsfield
- Nov 8, 2026BanfieldvsAtletico Tucuman
- Nov 8, 2026Boca JuniorsvsDefensa Y Justicia
- Nov 8, 2026TigrevsSarmiento Junin
- Nov 8, 2026IndependientevsDeportivo Riestra
- Nov 8, 2026Talleres CordobavsEstudiantes L.P.
- Nov 8, 2026Argentinos JRSvsHuracan