Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 0-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,953 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,238 vs 2,039).

6%11%83%
Rot-Weiß Essen winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
  1. 11Noah Pesch
  1. 22J. Sietan
  2. 10M. Obuz
  3. 17S. Telalović
  4. 26E. Çelebi
  5. 20M. Janssen
  1. 19F. Bouebari
  2. 23J. Ríos Alonso
  3. 15Ben Vincent Hüning
  4. 2M. Kostka
  1. 1J. Golz

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 21N. El Aynaoui
  3. 28C. Nkunku
  4. 10B. Gruda
  5. 6E. Banzuzi
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 23C. Lukeba
  4. 17R. Baku
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)0-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)2-03. Liga
Oct 9, 2026Preußen Münster(away)3-33. Liga
Oct 3, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Hansa Rostock(home)1-13. Liga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Real Madrid(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026Bayern München(away)1-6Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Rot-Weiß Essen wins, 0 draws, 1 RB Leipzig win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 17, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 1-4 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig on Aug 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen1.51.557/158/15
RB Leipzig2.21.776/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig is played on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig

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