Match

FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04RB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,220 vs 2,084).

32%24%44%
FC Schalke 04 winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
  1. 10E. Džeko
  1. 8R. Gosens
  2. 23S. El-Faouzi
  3. 19K. Karaman
  4. 13S. Tanaka
  5. 17A. Gantenbein
  6. 24A. Aouchiche
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 25N. Katić
  3. 5T. Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Austria Lustenau(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026SV Elversberg(home)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026Union Berlin(away)3-1Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Schalke 04 win, 0 draws, 5 RB Leipzig wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 27, 2023RB Leipzig 4-2 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2023FC Schalke 04 1-6 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Feb 6, 2021FC Schalke 04 0-3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Oct 3, 2020RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Feb 22, 2020FC Schalke 04 0-5 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 28, 2019RB Leipzig 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 on May 27, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 041.71.356/1510/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schalke 04 sit 14th in Bundesliga (5 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
14FC Schalke 045122465

A question about FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig played?
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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