Match

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim

Waldhof MannheimRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Rot-Weiß Essen starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,849).

Waldhof Mannheim win43 %
Draw22 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Waldhof Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)0-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-33. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)2-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waldhof Mannheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Sep 27, 2025Waldhof Mannheim 6-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Mar 9, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Sep 28, 2024Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 21, 2024Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Nov 12, 2023Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Waldhof Mannheim1.32.0110/158/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Waldhof Mannheim2110544
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Waldhof Mannheim and Rot-Weiß Essen

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