Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Rot-Weiß Essen starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waldhof Mannheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 6-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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