Match

Northampton vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands

NorthamptonPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Northampton vs Port Vale?

On Elo ratings, Northampton has 1,703 points and Port Vale 1,840.

37%30%33%
Northampton winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Northampton vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Northampton

4-4-2
  1. 19O. Dale
  2. 9Matthew Warhurst
  1. 16J. Wormleighton
  2. 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
  3. 8L. Evans
  4. 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
  1. 6E. Moore
  2. 5J. Guthrie
  3. 22Joshua Alan Powell
  4. 44J. Donacien
  1. 1Z. Jeacock

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Port Vale have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Northampton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Grimsby(away)2-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026York(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Cambridge United(away)1-2EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Rotherham(home)0-1League Two
Sep 12, 2026Shrewsbury(away)0-2League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Northampton wins, 2 draws, 2 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Northampton 0-1 Port ValeLeague One
Oct 4, 2025Port Vale 0-0 NorthamptonLeague One
Apr 1, 2024Northampton 2-0 Port ValeLeague One
Sep 16, 2023Port Vale 1-0 NorthamptonLeague One
Feb 12, 2022Port Vale 0-0 NorthamptonLeague Two
Aug 7, 2021Northampton 1-0 Port ValeLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Port Vale on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Northampton0.91.146/154/15
Port Vale0.90.974/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Northampton sit 22nd in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Port Vale sit 21st (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21Port Vale93245911
22Northampton92436710

A question about Northampton vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Northampton vs Port Vale played?
Northampton vs Port Vale is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Northampton and Port Vale

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