Rustavi vs Samgurali: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi
The Footlab AI model makes Rustavi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Samgurali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rustavi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Rustavi (1,693) and Samgurali (1,599).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rustavi vs Samgurali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rustavi
4-3-3- 9Jean
- 10P. Osei
- 5Kevin William Ceijas
- 22Y. Nakano
- 13A. Gujabidze
- 7K. S. Abdul
- 3V. Patsatsia
- 19N. Chikovani
- 4David
- 2S. Andghuladze
- 21P. Beruashvili
Samgurali
4-1-4-1- 9T. Gaprindashvili
- 20Vinicius Vianna
- 10L. Gilmore
- 8I. Bidzinashvili
- 26Z. Iashvili
- 33Isac Martins
- 4O. Patarkatsishvili
- 13L. Gegetchkori
- 27L. Shergelashvili
- 25M. Shatirishvili
- 21A. Siukaev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rustavi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Samgurali have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rustavi wins, 2 draws, 2 Samgurali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Samgurali 1-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 21, 2026 | Rustavi 1-0 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Samgurali 2-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 22, 2020 | Samgurali 2-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 2, 2020 | Rustavi 1-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Rustavi 1-0 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rustavi score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Samgurali score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rustavi | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Samgurali | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rustavi sit 1st in Erovnuli Liga (49 points from 28 matches) and Samgurali sit 7th (35 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 49 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 52 | 35 |
A question about Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rustavi vs Samgurali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rustavi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Samgurali.
- Where and when is Rustavi vs Samgurali played?
- Rustavi vs Samgurali is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Teknikuri Tsentri, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.