Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?
Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 06:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leek Town wins, 0 draws, 3 Ilkeston Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ilkeston Town 1-3 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Leek Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Leek Town 1-3 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2020 | Ilkeston Town 2-3 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Ilkeston Town 2-0 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 0.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Ilkeston Town | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 22nd (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 14 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town played?
- Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.