Bamber Bridge vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bury have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Bury sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bury | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Bury?
- The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Bury played?
- Bamber Bridge vs Bury is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Guiseley AFCvsUnited of Manchester
- Nov 7, 2026Hyde UnitedvsRedcar Athletic
- Nov 7, 2026Leek TownvsIlkeston Town
- Nov 7, 2026WorkingtonvsAshton United
- Nov 7, 2026Lancaster CityvsCleethorpes Town
- Nov 7, 2026AvrovsWarrington Town
- Nov 7, 2026QuornvsAlfreton Town
- Nov 7, 2026RylandsvsGainsborough Trinity