Match

Bamber Bridge vs Bury: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire

Bamber BridgeBury

The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Bury?

Bury starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,655).

Bamber Bridge win22 %
Draw25 %
Bury win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bury have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bamber Bridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leek Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ashton United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Avro(home)1-6Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Cleethorpes Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Bury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)2-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Rylands(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)0-0Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bamber Bridge0.92.618/159/15
Bury2.00.868/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Bury sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bury53117510
20Bamber Bridge51135144

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Bury?
The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bamber Bridge.
Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Bury played?
Bamber Bridge vs Bury is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bamber Bridge and Bury

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