Rylands vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Arena, Warrington, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rylands vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Rylands (1,822) and Lancaster City (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rylands have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rylands win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lancaster City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City 1-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rylands 2-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Lancaster City 2-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Rylands 0-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Lancaster City 0-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Rylands 1-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Rylands on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rylands sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 6 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lancaster City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Rylands | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rylands vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Rylands vs Lancaster City played?
- Rylands vs Lancaster City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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