Saburtalo vs Gagra: result 2-1 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on December 6, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo won 2-1 on December 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′J. JinjolavaSaburtalo
- 60′D. MujiriGagra
- 61′G. MamageishviliSaburtalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Gagra have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gareji(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Samgurali(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Telavi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Gareji(home) | 4-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 4-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Samgurali(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Saburtalo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gagra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | Gagra 1-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 29, 2025 | Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Gagra 0-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Saburtalo 1-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 28, 2024 | Gagra 4-0 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gagra | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo sit 3rd in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 20 matches) and Gagra sit 8th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy