Match

Sagamihara vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaEhime FC

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ehime FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Ehime FC?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,770) and Ehime FC (1,711).

Sagamihara win41 %
Draw25 %
Ehime FC win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League
Ehime FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Pacific University(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)4-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Nara Club(home)4-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Fujieda MYFC(away)0-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ehime FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2023Sagamihara 1-2 Ehime FCJ3 League
Jun 24, 2023Ehime FC 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Jul 23, 2022Sagamihara 2-3 Ehime FCJ3 League
Apr 10, 2022Ehime FC 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Nov 21, 2021Ehime FC 1-2 SagamiharaJ2 League
May 27, 2021Sagamihara 0-1 Ehime FCJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Ehime FC on Oct 21, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15
Ehime FC1.90.965/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ehime FC32101037
3Sagamihara3210627

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Ehime FC?
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ehime FC.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Ehime FC played?
Sagamihara vs Ehime FC is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sagamihara and Ehime FC

Ready to know everything about football?