Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Jey Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Mes Kerman the favourite at 41%, against 38% for a draw and 22% for Niroye Zamini. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Niroye Zamini (1,482) and Mes Kerman (1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niroye Zamini have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Mes Kerman have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Sanat Naft(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 0-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Havadar(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Niroye Zamini win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mes Kerman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Niroye Zamini 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Mes Kerman 0-1 Niroye Zamini | Azadegan League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Niroye Zamini 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Mes Kerman 0-0 Niroye Zamini | Azadegan League |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Niroye Zamini 1-2 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Mes Kerman 2-1 Niroye Zamini | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Niroye Zamini score 0.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Kerman score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niroye Zamini | 0.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Mes Kerman | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niroye Zamini sit 12th in Azadegan League (32 points from 29 matches) and Mes Kerman sit 7th (39 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mes Kerman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Niroye Zamini | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman?
- The Footlab model makes Mes Kerman the favourite at 41%, against 38% for a draw and 22% for Niroye Zamini.
- Where and when is Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman played?
- Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman is played on October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Jey Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.