Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 27% for Shahin Bandar Ameri, 37% for a draw, 35% for Saipa. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa?
Saipa starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shahin Bandar Ameri have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Saipa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2024 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Chadormalu SC(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| May 30, 2024 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| May 16, 2024 | Kheybar Khorramabad(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| May 9, 2024 | Esteghlal Mollasani(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Navad Urmia(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Shahin Bandar Ameri win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Saipa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Saipa 1-1 Shahin Bandar Ameri | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Saipa vs Shahin Bandar Ameri on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Shahin Bandar Ameri score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saipa score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahin Bandar Ameri | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Saipa | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saipa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 27% for Shahin Bandar Ameri, 37% for a draw, 35% for Saipa.
- Where and when is Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa played?
- Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.