Salford City vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Peninsula Stadium, Salford, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salford City vs Cheltenham?
Salford City starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salford City have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cheltenham have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Salford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cheltenham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Cheltenham 3-2 Salford City | League Two |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Salford City 1-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Cheltenham 2-1 Salford City | League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Salford City 2-0 Cheltenham | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Cheltenham 3-1 Salford City | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Cheltenham vs Salford City on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salford City sit 22nd in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Cheltenham sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salford City vs Cheltenham?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Salford City vs Cheltenham played?
- Salford City vs Cheltenham is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Peninsula Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.