Northampton vs York: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs York?
York starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs York
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 30A. Newby
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 3M. Kitching
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; York have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Northampton wins, 2 draws, 1 York win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York 1-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Feb 23, 2016 | York 1-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Northampton 2-0 York | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Northampton 3-0 York | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2014 | York 1-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 11, 2014 | Northampton 0-2 York | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; York score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| York | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 23rd in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and York sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Northampton vs York?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs York?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Northampton vs York played?
- Northampton vs York is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.