Match

Cheltenham vs Colchester: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire

CheltenhamColchester

The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cheltenham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Colchester?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,784) and Colchester (1,815).

39%28%33%
Cheltenham winDrawColchester win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Colchester

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cheltenham

4-1-4-1
  1. 18A. Weimann
  1. 26J. Shipley
  2. 19J. Evans
  3. 8C. McCann
  4. 33F. Willcox
  5. 7B. Stevenson
  1. 25P. Sweeney
  2. 6J. Wilson
  3. 3J. Tomkinson
  4. 17S. McWilliams
  1. 23W. Stanway

Colchester

4-2-3-1
  1. 9B. Ihionvien
  1. 12M. Sesay
  2. 26J. Williams
  3. 6P. Digby
  4. 27O. Thorn
  5. 15B. Lubala
  1. 3E. Iandolo
  2. 5J. Tucker
  3. 2R. Hunt
  4. 24F. Terry
  1. 22T. Lo-Tutala

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colchester have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cheltenham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)4-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Oldham(away)1-4League Two
Oct 13, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Salford City(home)0-2League Two
Oct 3, 2026Accrington ST(away)0-2League Two
Colchester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Exeter City(home)0-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Newport County(away)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Luton(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 26, 2026Shrewsbury(away)2-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cheltenham wins, 1 draw, 3 Colchester wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Colchester 1-1 CheltenhamLeague Two
May 2, 2026Cheltenham 1-4 ColchesterLeague Two
Nov 29, 2025Colchester 2-0 CheltenhamLeague Two
Mar 8, 2025Cheltenham 0-1 ColchesterLeague Two
Jan 14, 2025Cheltenham 2-1 ColchesterEFL Trophy
Oct 19, 2024Colchester 1-2 CheltenhamLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Cheltenham on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cheltenham1.71.9013/1512/15
Colchester0.91.429/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cheltenham sit 5th in League Two (18 points from 12 matches) and Colchester sit 19th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Cheltenham12534212218
19Colchester11263111412

A question about Cheltenham vs Colchester?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Colchester?
The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Colchester.
Where and when is Cheltenham vs Colchester played?
Cheltenham vs Colchester is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cheltenham and Colchester

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