Crewe vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Crewe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Crewe (1,784) and Swindon Town (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crewe win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Swindon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Crewe 0-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Crewe 0-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Crewe 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Swindon Town 2-2 Crewe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Crewe on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crewe sit 2nd in League Two (6 points from 2 matches) and Swindon Town sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab model makes Crewe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Crewe vs Swindon Town played?
- Crewe vs Swindon Town is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.