Crewe vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Crewe (1,856) and Swindon Town (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crewe vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 9J. March
- 10J. White
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 17M. Holíček
- 6L. Offord
- 4Kyle Ure
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 1T. Booth
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crewe wins, 2 draws, 1 Swindon Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Crewe 0-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Crewe 0-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Crewe 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Crewe on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crewe sit 3rd in League Two (21 points from 11 matches) and Swindon Town sit 18th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Crewe vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Crewe vs Swindon Town played?
- Crewe vs Swindon Town is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.