Colchester vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Colchester (1,815) and Newport County (1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 6P. Digby
- 27O. Thorn
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Newport County have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Colchester wins, 1 draw, 1 Newport County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County 1-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Newport County 1-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Colchester 4-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Newport County 0-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Colchester 0-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Colchester 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Colchester on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 19th in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Newport County sit 12th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Newport County played?
- Colchester vs Newport County is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.