Salisbury vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salisbury vs Farnborough?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Farnborough (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Salisbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Farnborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Farnborough 1-0 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Salisbury 1-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Salisbury 0-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Salisbury 3-0 Farnborough | FA Trophy |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Farnborough 3-1 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Salisbury 1-0 Farnborough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Salisbury on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Salisbury vs Farnborough played?
- Salisbury vs Farnborough is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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