Samgurali vs Meshakhte: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
The Footlab AI model makes Samgurali the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Meshakhte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samgurali wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Samgurali starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,476).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samgurali vs Meshakhte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samgurali
4-2-3-1- 9T. Gaprindashvili
- 20Vinicius Vianna
- 10L. Gilmore
- 8I. Bidzinashvili
- 5I. Janjghava
- 26Z. Iashvili
- 4O. Patarkatsishvili
- 13L. Gegetchkori
- 27L. Shergelashvili
- 25M. Shatirishvili
- 21A. Siukaev
Meshakhte
5-4-1- 9I. Sikharulidze
- 27G. Kantaria
- 30M. Pyrogov
- 22T. Šikalo
- 7E. Jijavadze
- 26B. Gabiskiria
- 13G. Burduli
- 40L. Ugrekhelidze
- 38I. Zotko
- 31Eric Pimentel
- 29L. Shovnadze
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samgurali have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Meshakhte have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Samgurali wins, 2 draws, 0 Meshakhte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Meshakhte 1-2 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samgurali 1-0 Meshakhte | David Kipiani Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | Samgurali 3-1 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Meshakhte 0-0 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 19, 2017 | Samgurali 5-0 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Meshakhte 1-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Meshakhte vs Samgurali on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samgurali score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Meshakhte score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Meshakhte | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samgurali sit 7th in Erovnuli Liga (32 points from 27 matches) and Meshakhte sit 10th (17 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 52 | 32 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 17 |
A question about Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samgurali the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Meshakhte.
- Where and when is Samgurali vs Meshakhte played?
- Samgurali vs Meshakhte is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.