Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, Kutaisi
The Footlab model makes Rustavi the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Torpedo Kutaisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Torpedo Kutaisi (1,722) and Rustavi (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Kutaisi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rustavi have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Varketili(away) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torpedo Kutaisi win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rustavi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Rustavi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Rustavi 2-4 Torpedo Kutaisi | David Kipiani Cup |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Rustavi 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rustavi score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rustavi | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th in Erovnuli Liga (31 points from 22 matches) and Rustavi sit 1st (41 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 18 | 41 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
- The Footlab model makes Rustavi the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Torpedo Kutaisi.
- Where and when is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi played?
- Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.