Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, Kutaisi
The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Rustavi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torpedo Kutaisi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Torpedo Kutaisi (1,675) and Rustavi (1,677).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torpedo Kutaisi
4-4-2- 9K. Andrić
- 14Felipe Pires
- 17N. Lominadze
- 11G. Arabidze
- 8M. Itrak
- 7V. Mamuchashvili
- 4M. Šimić
- 15L. Kuprava
- 33M. Stamatov
- 22D. Bukia
- 1O. Goshadze
Rustavi
4-3-3- 9Jean
- 10P. Osei
- 5Kevin William Ceijas
- 22Y. Nakano
- 13A. Gujabidze
- 20L. Parkadze
- 27M. Kapanadze
- 3V. Patsatsia
- 19N. Chikovani
- 4David
- 21P. Beruashvili
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Kutaisi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rustavi have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torpedo Kutaisi win, 1 draw, 4 Rustavi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Rustavi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Rustavi 2-4 Torpedo Kutaisi | David Kipiani Cup |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Rustavi 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rustavi score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rustavi | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Kutaisi sit 6th in Erovnuli Liga (36 points from 27 matches) and Rustavi sit 3rd (46 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rustavi | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 23 | 46 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 36 |
A question about Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Rustavi.
- Where and when is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi played?
- Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.