Samgurali vs Spaeri: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
The Footlab AI model makes Samgurali the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Spaeri. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samgurali wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Samgurali (1,599) and Spaeri (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samgurali vs Spaeri
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samgurali
4-1-4-1- 9T. Gaprindashvili
- 20Vinicius Vianna
- 10L. Gilmore
- 8I. Bidzinashvili
- 26Z. Iashvili
- 33Isac Martins
- 4O. Patarkatsishvili
- 13L. Gegetchkori
- 27L. Shergelashvili
- 25M. Shatirishvili
- 21A. Siukaev
Spaeri
4-2-3-1- 17L. Kokhreidze
- 6T. Askurava
- 5T. Tsalughelashvili
- 8S. Maisuradze
- 24Z. Golubiani
- 21O. Gordeziani
- 7S. Gegiadze
- 14G. Samkharadze
- 22N. Chagunava
- 31G. Bunturi
- 1B. Putkaradze
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samgurali have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Spaeri have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Samgurali wins, 1 draw, 1 Spaeri win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spaeri 3-4 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Spaeri 0-1 Samgurali | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Samgurali 0-0 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Spaeri 4-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Samgurali score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spaeri score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Spaeri | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samgurali sit 7th in Erovnuli Liga (35 points from 28 matches) and Spaeri sit 9th (26 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Samgurali | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 52 | 35 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 46 | 26 |
A question about Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samgurali vs Spaeri?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samgurali the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Spaeri.
- Where and when is Samgurali vs Spaeri played?
- Samgurali vs Spaeri is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.