San Bartolomé vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Panadería Pulido?
Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Bartolomé win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Panadería Pulido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Panadería Pulido 1-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Panadería Pulido 3-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Panadería Pulido?
- The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Panadería Pulido played?
- San Bartolomé vs Panadería Pulido is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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