Tenerife C vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tenerife C the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife C vs Marino?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Tenerife C (1,742) and Marino (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife C have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tenerife C win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Marino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tenerife C 0-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Marino 1-0 Tenerife C | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife C score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife C | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Marino | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife C sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (52 points from 34 matches) and Marino sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 46 | 52 |
| 12 | Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife C vs Marino?
- The Footlab model makes Tenerife C the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Marino.
- Where and when is Tenerife C vs Marino played?
- Tenerife C vs Marino is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027MensajerovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Mar 28, 2027LanzarotevsPlayas Sotavento
- Mar 28, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsLaguna de Duero
- Mar 28, 2027EstrellavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Mar 28, 2027San BartolomévsPanadería Pulido
- Mar 28, 2027San MiguelvsSan Fernando CD
- Mar 28, 2027AnazavsLos Llanos
- Mar 28, 2027Villaverde NortevsLas Palmas III