San Fernando CD vs Real Unión de Tenerife: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Unión de Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Fernando CD vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate San Fernando CD (1,746) and Real Unión de Tenerife (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Real Unión de Tenerife have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Albacete(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| May 4, 2025 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Fernando CD | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Unión de Tenerife.
- Where and when is San Fernando CD vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?
- San Fernando CD vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.