San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Aurrerá Vitoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Ignacio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate San Ignacio (1,711) and Aurrerá Vitoria (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Aurrerá Vitoria
4-3-3- ÍÍñigo Hernández
- DDevis
- AAsier Ruiz
- MMartín Asurmendi
- MMikel Gonzalez
- AAritz Castro
- JJoel Martinez
- YYeray Terrazas
- HHodei Gastaminza
- JJon Rementería
- JJulen Barria
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Ignacio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aurrerá Vitoria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 San Ignacio wins, 0 draws, 1 Aurrerá Vitoria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria 0-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | San Ignacio 3-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Aurrerá Vitoria 0-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | San Ignacio 0-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Ignacio score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aurrerá Vitoria score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Ignacio sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 6 matches) and Aurrerá Vitoria sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
A question about San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Aurrerá Vitoria.
- Where and when is San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria played?
- San Ignacio vs Aurrerá Vitoria is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.