Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipú, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for San Martin S.J.. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Deportivo Maipu (1,800) and San Martin S.J. (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Maipu have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; San Martin S.J. have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 4-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Deportivo Maipu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 San Martin S.J. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | San Martin S.J. 2-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 14, 2024 | San Martin S.J. 1-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Deportivo Maipu 0-2 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Deportivo Maipu 1-0 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| May 29, 2022 | Deportivo Maipu 2-2 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Maipu on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Martin S.J. score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| San Martin S.J. | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Maipu sit 6th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and San Martin S.J. sit 11th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 27 | 38 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for San Martin S.J..
- Where and when is Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. played?
- Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 3, 2026Atletico MitrevsColon Santa Fe
- Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsGimnasia Y Tiro
- Oct 3, 2026QuilmesvsAgropecuario
- Oct 3, 2026AlmagrovsChacarita Juniors
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsAcassuso
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