Where and when is Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors played?

Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tres de Febrero, Tres de Febrero, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Almagro

Chacarita Juniors

The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Almagro (1,705) and Chacarita Juniors (1,701).

Almagro win51 %

Draw31 %

Chacarita Juniors win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almagro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chacarita Juniors have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almagro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Colegiales(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Moron(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Quilmes(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Midland(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional

Chacarita Juniors
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 19, 2026	Club Atlético Güemes(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Atletico DE Rafaela(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Agropecuario(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almagro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chacarita Juniors win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Almagro	Primera Nacional
Apr 2, 2022	Almagro 1-3 Chacarita Juniors	Primera Nacional
Jan 12, 2021	Almagro 0-2 Chacarita Juniors	Primera Nacional
Mar 17, 2020	Chacarita Juniors 1-2 Almagro	Primera Nacional
Sep 21, 2019	Almagro 0-0 Chacarita Juniors	Primera Nacional
Aug 28, 2018	Almagro 1-0 Chacarita Juniors	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almagro	1.0	1.0	5	6/15	5/15
Chacarita Juniors	0.7	1.1	5	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almagro sit 13th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 26 matches) and Chacarita Juniors sit 16th (27 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Almagro	26	8	7	11	21	29	31
16	Chacarita Juniors	26	7	6	13	19	28	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?: The Footlab model makes Almagro the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Chacarita Juniors.
Where and when is Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors played?: Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.