Where and when is San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales played?

San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Ciudadela, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Ciudadela, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán

San Martin Tucuman

Colegiales

The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Colegiales. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate San Martin Tucuman (1,786) and Colegiales (1,766).

San Martin Tucuman win51 %

Draw30 %

Colegiales win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin Tucuman have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Colegiales have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Martin Tucuman
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Deportivo Madryn(home)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	San Martin S.J.(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Nueva Chicago(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Temperley(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Colegiales
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Almagro(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Patronato(home)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Quilmes(away)	1-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 San Martin Tucuman win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colegiales win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2026	Colegiales 2-0 San Martin Tucuman	Primera Nacional
Sep 5, 2025	Colegiales 2-0 San Martin Tucuman	Primera Nacional
May 2, 2025	San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Colegiales	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Martin Tucuman score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Colegiales score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Martin Tucuman	0.9	1.0	5	6/15	5/15
Colegiales	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Martin Tucuman sit 9th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Colegiales sit 12th (31 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	San Martin Tucuman	26	8	11	7	26	23	35
12	Colegiales	25	8	7	10	23	25	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales?: The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Colegiales.
Where and when is San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales played?: San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Ciudadela, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.