San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Los Polvorines, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate San Miguel (1,712) and Atletico Mitre (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Mitre have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 San Miguel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atletico Mitre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atletico Mitre 4-0 San Miguel | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Mitre vs San Miguel on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 11th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 25 matches) and Atletico Mitre sit 12th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre?
- The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Mitre.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre played?
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.