Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and Colon Santa Fe (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Colon Santa Fe have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Atletico Mitre win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Colon Santa Fe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe 1-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Colon Santa Fe 0-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Atletico Mitre 0-1 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Colon Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Atletico Mitre 2-2 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Colon Santa Fe vs Atletico Mitre on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Colon Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe?
- The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Mitre.
- Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe played?
- Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 3, 2026All BoysvsGodoy Cruz
- Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsGimnasia Y Tiro
- Oct 3, 2026QuilmesvsAgropecuario
- Oct 3, 2026AlmagrovsChacarita Juniors
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores De BelgranovsAcassuso
- Oct 3, 2026Deportivo MadrynvsChaco For Ever
- Oct 3, 2026PatronatovsClub Atlético Güemes