Where and when is Almirante Brown vs San Miguel played?

Almirante Brown vs San Miguel is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almirante Brown vs San Miguel: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Almirante Brown

San Miguel

The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 58%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs San Miguel?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Almirante Brown (1,772) and San Miguel (1,717).

Almirante Brown win58 %

Draw29 %

San Miguel win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almirante Brown have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; San Miguel have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almirante Brown
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(away)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Tristan Suarez(away)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Atletico Mitre(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Colegiales(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Racing Cordoba(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	San Telmo(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Acassuso(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almirante Brown win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 San Miguel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	San Miguel 1-0 Almirante Brown	Primera Nacional
Oct 13, 2019	Almirante Brown 3-0 San Miguel	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 2, 2019	Almirante Brown 0-0 San Miguel	Primera B Metropolitana
Sep 21, 2018	San Miguel 0-0 Almirante Brown	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 3, 2018	Almirante Brown 1-2 San Miguel	Primera B Metropolitana
Oct 8, 2017	San Miguel 2-0 Almirante Brown	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Almirante Brown on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almirante Brown	0.9	0.5	9	4/15	2/15
San Miguel	0.8	1.0	5	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almirante Brown sit 5th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 26 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (29 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Almirante Brown	26	11	8	7	22	16	41
11	San Miguel	25	6	11	8	20	25	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almirante Brown vs San Miguel?: The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 58%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for San Miguel.
Where and when is Almirante Brown vs San Miguel played?: Almirante Brown vs San Miguel is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.