Santa Clara vs Casa Pia: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Casa Pia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Casa Pia?
Santa Clara starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,135 vs 2,002).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Clara vs Casa Pia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 7Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 41Daniel Borges
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1- 9Henrique Araújo
- 11M. El Boukammiri
- 80L. Ofori
- 77B. Pauwels
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
- 24S. Pérez
- 18Geraldes
- 75Pedro Rosas
- 43David Sousa
- 3Kaly
- 1P. Sequeira
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Casa Pia have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Santa Clara wins, 1 draw, 1 Casa Pia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Casa Pia 0-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Santa Clara 1-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Casa Pia 0-2 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Casa Pia 2-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Casa Pia vs Santa Clara on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Clara sit 4th in Primeira Liga (21 points from 10 matches) and Casa Pia sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
A question about Santa Clara vs Casa Pia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Casa Pia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Casa Pia.
- Where and when is Santa Clara vs Casa Pia played?
- Santa Clara vs Casa Pia is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.