Sporting CP vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs SC Braga?
Sporting CP starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,393 vs 2,254).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SC Braga have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting CP win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 SC Braga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | SC Braga 2-4 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sporting CP 5-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SC Braga 1-0 Sporting CP | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Sporting CP on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 2nd in Primeira Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and SC Braga sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs SC Braga played?
- Sporting CP vs SC Braga is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.