Sporting CP vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs SC Braga?
Sporting CP starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (2,496 vs 2,321).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs SC Braga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 19N. Irankunda
- 97L. Suárez
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 1Rui Silva
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 29J. Gorby
- 23D. Huseinbašić
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 44A. Bajrami
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; SC Braga have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting CP wins, 3 draws, 0 SC Braga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga 1-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | SC Braga 2-4 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sporting CP 5-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Sporting CP on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and SC Braga sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Sporting CP vs SC Braga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs SC Braga played?
- Sporting CP vs SC Braga is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.