Benfica vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Santa Clara. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica vs Santa Clara?
Benfica starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (2,466 vs 2,191).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica vs Santa Clara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 27Rafa
- 25G. Prestianni
- 36João Palhinha
- 18L. Barreiro
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 26S. Dahl
- 6A. Bah
- 3A. Circati
- 24Samuel Soares
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Santa Clara have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Benfica wins, 1 draw, 0 Santa Clara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Benfica 1-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| May 27, 2023 | Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Benfica on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 3.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 3.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 2nd in Primeira Liga (19 points from 8 matches) and Santa Clara sit 4th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
A question about Benfica vs Santa Clara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Santa Clara.
- Where and when is Benfica vs Santa Clara played?
- Benfica vs Santa Clara is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.