Santa Clara vs Famalicao: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores
The Footlab model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Famalicao. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Santa Clara (2,057) and Famalicao (2,112).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Famalicao have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Lens(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Santa Clara win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Famalicao win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Santa Clara 0-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Famalicao 3-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Santa Clara 2-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Famalicao 1-2 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Famalicao 0-1 Santa Clara | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Famalicao on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Clara score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Clara sit 6th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Famalicao sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Famalicao.
- Where and when is Santa Clara vs Famalicao played?
- Santa Clara vs Famalicao is played on August 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.