Guimaraes vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Nacional?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on August 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′GustavoGuimaraes
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Guimaraes win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Guimaraes vs Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 24A. Ndoye
- 11Gustavo
- 20Samu
- 17Miguel Nogueira
- 8Gonçalo Nogueira
- 44L. Doucet
- 13João Mendes
- 28Thiago Balieiro
- 4Óscar Rivas
- 23T. Strata
- 48O. Zych
Nacional
3-4-2-1- 99Pablo Ruan
- 10Daniel Júnior
- 8Miguel Baeza
- 7M. Jensen
- 22Filipe Soares
- 28Liziero
- 52Wesley Gasolina
- 38Zé Vitor
- 6Matheus Dias
- 34Léo Santos
- 1Renato Bellucci
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guimaraes wins, 1 draw, 2 Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Nacional 2-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Guimaraes 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Nacional 1-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2021 | Nacional 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Guimaraes 3-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nacional vs Guimaraes on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 15th in Primeira Liga (5 points from 8 matches) and Nacional sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Guimaraes vs Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy