FC Porto vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Santa Clara. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
FC Porto starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,360 vs 2,101).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Porto vs Santa Clara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Porto
4-3-3- 11Pepê Aquino
- 19André Silva
- 17Borja Sainz
- 8Victor Mow Froholdt
- 13P. Rosario
- 10Gabri Veiga
- 4J. Kiwior
- 20Alberto Baio
- 5J. Bednarek
- 12Z. Sanusi
- 99Diogo Costa
Santa Clara
4-2-3-1- 7Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Clara have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Porto wins, 1 draw, 0 Santa Clara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FC Porto 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Santa Clara 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FC Porto 1-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Santa Clara 0-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Santa Clara 1-2 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 15, 2023 | FC Porto 2-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Porto vs Santa Clara on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 1st in Primeira Liga (27 points from 9 matches) and Santa Clara sit 4th (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
A question about FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Santa Clara.
- Where and when is FC Porto vs Santa Clara played?
- FC Porto vs Santa Clara is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Dragão, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.