Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,760) and Atlético Pulpileño (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Santa Cruz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Santa Cruz 0-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (51 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
- Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Los GarresvsÁguilas II
- Oct 25, 2026SFC MinervavsEl Palmar
- Oct 25, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsAlcantarilla
- Oct 25, 2026Unión MolinensevsBala Azul
- Oct 25, 2026AlgarvsMazarrón FC
- Oct 25, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsCartagena LU II
- Oct 25, 2026SantomeravsSan Javier
- Oct 25, 2026Bullas DeportivovsOlímpico Totana